Social Science & Medicine
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Social Science & Medicine's content profile, based on 15 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Kosola, S.; Salonen, S.; Miettinen, J.; Horhammer, I.; Impio, A.-R.; Kumpulainen, S. M.; Sergejeff, J.; Numari, S.; Laitinen-Parkkonen, P.; Tapola-Haapala, M.; Aaltio, E.; Thorn, L.
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Introduction Education is a core social determinant of health for children and adolescents. Unfortunately, academic achievement, health, and wellbeing of adolescents have decreased in many developed countries in the past decade. The purpose of the Wellbeing and Education linkages in school-aged children (WELL-ED) study is to examine associations of school absences and academic achievement with use of school-based and community-based health and social welfare services. In addition, we will assess user experiences and multi-sector services pathways of school-aged children for a better understanding of how the service system could respond to the needs of children. Methods and analysis WELL-ED is a large population-based study that combines register data on school absences and educational support from municipalities with register data on healthcare and social service use collected from wellbeing services counties in Finland. The study cohort includes all children who attended mandatory education in public schools in Southern Finland in school year 2023-2024. A smaller cohort of adolescents in school year 8 was invited to complete a user experience survey. The primary outcomes of this study are related to equity of service use. Ethics and dissemination The Regional Committee on Medical Research Ethics of the Helsinki and Uusimaa Hospital District (2803/2024) has approved the WELL-ED study protocol. For the survey, adolescents in year 8 and parents of adolescents younger than 15 provided informed consent. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals, summaries will be sent to participating municipalities and wellbeing services counties and press releases will be written on key findings.
Mulder, J.; Boeker, C. M.; Smit, A. K.; Kiefte-de Jong, J. C.
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Background Multimorbidity is increasingly prevalent, and associated with worse clinical and psychosocial burdens. Interoception, the brain's ability to sense and interpret internal bodily signals, may contribute to multimorbidity, through its link with health behaviors, stress regulation, and mental health. This study examines whether self-reported interoceptive accuracy and attention is associated with multimorbidity, by identifying multimorbid subgroups and their interoceptive profiles. Methods Morbidity classes were identified through latent class analyses in two Dutch survey datasets, focusing on depression and alexithymia (DA-dataset; N = 671) and lifestyle factors (L-dataset; N = 1022). Linear regression analyses were used to assess interoceptive accuracy and attention (by the Interoceptive Accuracy Scale and Interoceptive Attention Scale respectively) among different subgroups. Results Multimorbid subgroups were characterized by older age, low socioeconomic position, and elevated physical, psychological, and behavioral problems. Multimorbid classes exhibited lower interoceptive accuracy (DA-dataset: B = -1.14, 95% CI = [-2.89, 0.62]; L-dataset: B = -2.36, 95% CI = [-3.83, -0.89]) and higher attention (DA-dataset: B = 3.62, 95% CI = [0.97, 6.27]; L-dataset: B = 1.07, 95% CI = [-1.42, 3.56]) compared to healthier classes. Conclusion Multimorbid populations demonstrated lower interoceptive accuracy and higher interoceptive attention. This highlights the psychosocial complexity of multimorbid populations which may impact their self-management and health behavior. These findings underscore the need to expand treatments to include psychosocial domains for multimorbid patients.
Schmill, P.; Hudson, J.; Greenwood, S.; Chilcot, J.
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Background: Psychological distress is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is associated with reduced quality of life, treatment non-adherence, and worse clinical outcomes. Distress in CKD is also linked to difficulties adjusting to the demands of illness management. Despite this, psychological support remains inconsistently integrated within kidney care pathways, and existing interventions often lack clear theoretical specification and explicit targeting of mechanisms underpinning adjustment to CKD. Objectives: To describe the systematic development of iADJUST, a theory-informed patient co-designed digital psychological intervention targeting key cognitive and behavioural mechanisms involved in adjustment to CKD. Methods: Intervention development was guided by the Medical Research Council framework for complex interventions. A structured, iterative process integrated empirical evidence, psychological theory, and patient and public involvement and engagement. The Common-Sense Model of Self-Regulation and cognitive behavioural theories informed the identification of modifiable maintaining mechanisms associated with adjustment to CKD. Intervention components were mapped onto these mechanisms and refined through co-design with people living with CKD. Results: iADJUST is a six-session self-guided digital psychological intervention delivered over 12 weeks and supplemented by therapist contact. The intervention targets illness-related uncertainty, fatigue-related activity dysregulation, catastrophic what-if thinking, self-critical evaluation, and behavioural withdrawal. It integrates psychoeducation, cognitive and behavioural strategies, maintenance planning, and elements from acceptance and commitment therapy and compassion-focused approaches. Content is delivered through video, audio, and guided tasks and activities. Conclusion: iADJUST provides a theory-informed, evidence-based psychological intervention for CKD explicitly mapping intervention components to maintaining cognitive and behavioural mechanisms implicated in adjustment. Feasibility evaluation is underway.
Park, A.; Yin, L.; Wong, A.; Lee, C.; Choi, Y.
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Medical discrimination may alter how patients relate to health information sources following adverse care encounters. We examined whether discrimination experience is associated with selective erosion of institutional health trust and with compensatory digital health engagement, using nationally representative data from the Health Information National Trends Survey (HINTS) 6 (2022; n=6,252) and HINTS 7 (2024; n=7,278). Survey-weighted modified Poisson regression estimated prevalence ratios (PRs) for binary high-trust outcomes, and survey-weighted ordinary least squares estimated coefficients for continuous outcomes; jackknife replicate weights (50 replicates) provided variance estimates. Discrimination was associated with substantially lower probability of high trust in the healthcare system (PR=0.39; 95% CI 0.30-0.52) and physicians (PR=0.85; 95% CI 0.77-0.94), with no significant association for trust in scientists, government, family, or religious organisations. The clinical-institutional pattern replicated in HINTS 6, which additionally showed reduced trust in scientists for race/ethnicity-based discrimination. Contrary to a disengagement hypothesis, discrimination-exposed adults showed higher probability of online health information seeking (PR=1.06), health app use (PR=1.11), and online provider messaging (PR=1.13); these associations persisted after adjustment for trust in physicians. Discrimination was independently associated with lower health self-efficacy (b=-0.271). Medical discrimination selectively erodes trust in clinical institutions while leaving broader epistemic trust largely intact. Despite this, discrimination-exposed patients engage more actively with digital health channels, consistent with compensatory reorientation toward non-clinical information sources. These findings describe engaged but institutionally alienated patients, with implications for restoring clinical trust and for equity-centred digital health design.
Mathlin, G.; Cooper, C.; Teoh, L.; Mukadam, N.; Banerjee, S.; Birks, Y.; Demnitz-King, H.; Hunter, R.
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Background: People affected by dementia experience intersecting care inequalities. We explored relationships between ethnicity and health and social care resource use among people with dementia in an ethnically diverse urban region. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study using Discover-NOW, including patients with dementia between 1.4.2015 and 1.4.2025. We calculated ethnic density as the percentage of the Middle Layer Super Output Area (SOA) population self-identifying with the same ethnic group. Regression models, clustered by Local SOA, tested whether ethnic density moderated relationships between ethnicity and primary care, outpatient, inpatient, emergency and social care service use, controlling for sociodemographic characteristics, deprivation, comorbidities and time of diagnosis. Findings: We included 30,704 people with dementia. People from Black and Mixed ethnic groups used more primary care, and those from Asian ethnic groups less primary and secondary care, than White ethnic groups. Rates of local authority social care packages were similar across ethnic groups. High ethnic density predicted fewer GP consultations in Black ethnic groups, but more in South Asian groups. Interpretation: Among Black ethnic groups, primary care use was relatively high, especially in areas of low ethnic density, perhaps reflecting greater needs among communities at risk of racism and isolation. The trend towards increased primary care use among South Asian people in areas of higher ethnic density may reflect communities mitigating help-seeking hesitancy related to cultural and language barriers. Greater care integration could reduce care inequalities among minority ethnic communities who may experience fewer barriers to social relative to health care.
Forbes, M.; Lotfaliany, M.; Miteku, B. M.; Yu, C.; Lacaze, P.; Isvoranu, A.-M.; Kang, M.; Nguyen, T.; Woods, R.; McNeil, J.; Neumann, J.; Mohebbi, M.; Berk, M.
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Background Low-level systemic inflammation has been associated with late-life depressive symptoms. Whether individuals with higher inflammation derive preventive benefit from low-dose aspirin therapy is unknown. Methods We performed a post-hoc analysis of the ASPiring in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Baseline C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was measured in plasma and depressive symptoms were assessed annually using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression 10 Scale with elevated symptoms defined as CES-D-10 >= 8. Participants with elevated depressive symptoms at baseline were excluded. We fitted population-averaged logistic generalised estimating equation models adjusted for baseline sociodemographic and lifestyle covariates, including an hsCRP x treatment interaction to test effect modification by aspirin. Results Higher baseline hsCRP was associated with increased odds of elevated depressive symptoms during follow-up (OR 1.07 per SD increase in hsCRP, 95% CI 1.03-1.11). Low-dose aspirin allocation did not modify the hsCRP-depressive symptoms association (interaction OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94-1.10). Findings were similar after additional adjustment for comorbidity and other covariates. Conclusions In community-dwelling older adults during the ASPREE randomised trial period, higher baseline hsCRP was modestly associated with elevated depressive symptoms. There was no evidence that low-dose aspirin was associated with reduced risk of depressive symptoms among participants with higher baseline inflammation.
Coscini, N.; Giallo, R.; Grobler, A.; Hiscock, H.; Mulraney, M.; Pope, N.
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Objectives To explore caregiver and clinicians perspectives on implementing mental health conversations and supports for caregivers of children with chronic conditions in paediatric outpatient clinics. Specifically, views were sought on (a) screening approaches and measures (phase 1) and (b) how feedback and support could be provided to caregivers experiencing mental health difficulties (phase 2). Methods Caregivers and clinicians from two outpatient clinics (neuromuscular and diabetes) at a tertiary paediatric hospital in Melbourne, Australia participated in online focus groups in July and August 2024. Caregivers were recruited from outpatient clinics and clinicians were recruited via email. Both groups were combined for phase 1 before separating into breakout rooms for phase 2. Two authors conducted reflexive thematic analysis of transcripts using NVivo. Results Sixteen participants (caregivers n = 8; and clinicians n = 8) took part in in two semi-structured focus groups. Analysis generated two overarching domains, each comprising multiple themes. Domain 1, Addressing caregiver mental health, captured themes of overwhelm and invisibility, diverse caregiving roles, and the need for time and resources to support wellbeing conversations. Domain 2, Housing the mental health conversation, encompassed themes of screening preferences, caregiver agency in confidentiality, delivery of feedback, and access to tailored supports. Conclusions Caregivers and clinicians support routine caregiver mental health discussions in paediatric outpatient settings. Caregivers favour screening at diagnosis and key transitions, with clear, and actionable feedback delivered away from the child. Questions about record-keeping warrant further exploration, as do the perspectives of fathers.
Beer, S.; Simpkin, A. J.; Eldeeb, S. Y.; Zar, H. J.; Stein, D. J.; Dunn, E. C.; Smith, A. D. A. C.
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Background: In prospective cohort studies, where an exposure is collected repeatedly, interest often lies in determining whether the timing of that exposure has a differential effect on a later outcome. The Structured Life Course Modeling Approach (SLCMA), where users select between temporal hypotheses of exposure specified a priori, provides one way to analyse such longitudinal data. However, few studies using SLCMA consider the effect of time-varying covariates (TVC) which may impact associations. Methods: We present a modified version of the SLCMA - called direct and mediated effects (DME)-SLCMA - which corrects for TVC. We first develop the DME-SLCMA method, test it through simulation, and apply it to psychosocial data from the Drakenstein Child Health Study (DCHS, n=336) to investigate relationships between maternal psychopathology, TVC of socioeconomic status, and offspring depressive symptoms. Results: We found that, on average, offspring depressive symptoms score increased by 3.9% (95% CI: 1.0%-6.9%, p = 0.039) for each unit of maternal psychopathology (SRQ) at 48 months whilst adjusting for time-varying socioeconomic status (at 18, 30, 42 and 54 months). Our simulations identified several realistic scenarios where selections ignoring TVC - with TVC mediated exposure effects present - were prone to be incorrect, including our DCHS example. Conclusion: DME-SLCMA is a robust new approach for life course modelling in the presence of time-varying covariates. We recommend adjusting for TVC whenever possible, and, when not possible, our simulation study identified that scenarios where mediated effects are comparable, or greater, in magnitude to direct effects are most prone to confounding.
Corona-Moreno, R.; Acuna-Zegarra, M. A.; Santana-Cibrian, M.; Velasco-Hernandez, J. X.
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During the COVID-19 pandemic, limited testing capacity and reporting delays complicated epidemic surveillance and decision-making in Mexico. We calibrated \textit{covidestim}, a Bayesian nowcasting model, to estimate the total SARS-CoV-2 infections from reported cases and deaths using Mexican surveillance data. Disease-progression distribution priors were calibrated using Mexico City records and validated through comparisons with national seroprevalence surveys, hospitalization data, and annual reported severe-case rates across all states. Using the reconstructed estimates of active infections, we implemented an event-based risk framework that quantifies the probability of encountering at least one infectious individual in gatherings of different sizes. This probability was subsequently translated into a four-level epidemiological traffic-light indicator and computed at both state and municipality levels. The resulting estimates revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity that is obscured by state-level aggregation, particularly in states with marked differences between urban and rural municipalities. To evaluate consistency with public-health indicators, we compared the proposed risk classification with the official Mexican epidemiological traffic-light system, considering interpretable gathering sizes relevant to public-health decision making. Weekly reports derived from this framework were delivered to policymakers in the State of Queretaro in Mexico, as an anticipation tool for school reopening and public-space management. This demonstrates that this Bayesian reconstruction of infections combined with event-based risk metrics can provide an interpretable and generalizable municipality-level complement to routine surveillance systems, particularly in regions with limited testing capacity and heterogeneous local transmission dynamics.
Ogunsemoyin, O.; Ayinmoro, A. D.
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Introduction Menopause is a central marker of reproductive ageing, but national evidence on menstrual cessation among Nigerian women in the late reproductive ages remains limited. This study examined the prevalence and socio-demographic correlates of prolonged amenorrhea/possible menopausal transition among Nigerian women aged 30-49 years. Methods The study used the women's individual recode file from the 2024 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey. The analytic sample was restricted to women aged 30-49 years, excluding women who were currently pregnant, currently or postpartum amenorrheic, and those with invalid or special responses on time since last menstrual period. The final sample comprised 14,223 women. The outcome combined women whose last menstrual period occurred 12 or more months before the survey, and women reported as being in menopause. Weighted descriptive statistics, design-adjusted bivariate tests and survey-weighted binary logistic regression were used. Results The weighted prevalence of prolonged amenorrhea/possible menopausal transition was 7.6%. Prevalence rose from 1.2% among women aged 30-34 years to 23.6% among women aged 45-49 years. In the adjusted model, women aged 35-39 years (OR=1.64; p=0.030), 40-44 years (OR=6.20; p<0.001) and 45-49 years (OR=24.51; p<0.001) had higher odds than women aged 30-34 years. Primary education (OR=1.65; p=0.004), middle wealth status (OR=1.37; p=0.043) and poorest wealth status (OR=1.60; p=0.024) were associated with higher odds. Muslim affiliation (OR=0.72; p=0.024) and traditional contraceptive use (OR=0.24; p<0.001) were associated with lower odds. Conclusion Prolonged amenorrhea/possible menopausal transition among Nigerian women aged 30-49 is strongly age-patterned and socially differentiated. The findings support the need to make midlife menstrual health more visible within reproductive, family planning and primary healthcare services. Because the measure is based on survey-reported menstrual recency, it should not be interpreted as clinically confirmed natural menopause.
Mahmud, S.
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Background Bangladesh has experienced a rapid increase in cesarean section (CS) utilization over the past two decades. While previous studies have documented socioeconomic disparities in CS use, evidence on how wealth-related inequalities differ between public and private healthcare facilities remains limited. This study assessed the magnitude and drivers of socioeconomic inequality in CS utilization among facility-based births in Bangladesh. Methods We analyzed data from 3,008 facility-based births reported in the 2022 Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS). Survey-weighted multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with CS utilization. Wealth-related inequality was assessed using concentration curves and the Erreygers-corrected concentration index (ECCI). Regression-based decomposition of the standard concentration index was performed to quantify the contribution of socioeconomic, demographic, and healthcare-related factors to observed inequalities overall and separately for public and private facilities. Results Overall, 71.2% of facility-based births were delivered by CS, with substantially higher prevalence in private facilities (84.2%) than in public facilities (35.9%). Women delivering in private facilities had markedly higher odds of CS than those delivering in public facilities (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 9.07; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.17-11.47). Significant pro-rich inequality was observed overall (ECCI: 0.154; 95% CI: 0.117-0.191), with inequality substantially greater in public facilities (ECCI: 0.189; 95% CI: 0.114-0.264) than in private facilities (ECCI: 0.049; 95% CI: 0.014-0.084). Decomposition analysis showed that household wealth was the dominant contributor to inequality, particularly the richest wealth quintile, accounting for 81.5% of overall inequality, 63.8% in public facilities, and 109.7% in private facilities. Conclusions Wealth-related inequalities in CS utilization remain substantial in Bangladesh despite widespread use of the procedure. Although pro-rich inequality exists across both sectors, inequality is considerably greater in public facilities and is driven by different mechanisms across facility types. Policies should simultaneously improve equitable access to medically necessary CS and reduce unnecessary procedures, particularly within the private sector.
Harasymiw, L.; Kuang, A.; Xu, D.; Scheffler, A.; George, E.; Peyvandi, S.; McQuillen, P.
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Background: Infants with critical congenital heart disease (CHD) are at high risk for abnormal brain development and later neurodevelopmental impairment. We hypothesized that the trajectory of perioperative whole-brain network development would predict neurodevelopmental outcomes in early childhood. Methods: This prospective longitudinal cohort of neonates with critical CHD (n = 97) underwent preoperative and/or postoperative brain MRI with diffusion imaging. Whole-brain network measures were derived from structural connectomes. Neurodevelopment was assessed between 1 and 4 years using the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development. Results: White matter injury was associated with slower perioperative growth in global efficiency (p = 0.013), a measure of network integration, whereas cardiac physiology was not associated with network development. Infants with greater perioperative increases in global efficiency had higher cognitive (p = 0.001), language (p < 0.001), and motor (p = 0.008) scores. For each 1-standard deviation increase in the trajectory of global efficiency, cognitive scores increased by 8.2 points (95% CI, 3.64-12.78), independent of brain injury and socioeconomic factors. Conclusion: In infants with critical CHD, longitudinal whole-brain network development was associated with neurodevelopment across multiple domains. Early network development may represent a candidate biomarker of neurodevelopmental risk and resilience in this population.
Mink, T.; Ogutu, E.; Patrick, M.; Sinharoy, S.; Bolanos Gamez, M. V.; Macler, A.; Ngo, C. P.; Oglesby, H.; Bendit, O.; White, J.; Antonio, S.; Ramos, G.; Roldan Medina Lopez, E.; Atandi, E.; Mwangi, P.; Koome, P.; Otieno Onyango, R.; Otuya, P. A.; Ruto, P.; Caruso, B. A.
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Women shoulder the majority of water collection labor globally, yet how their water collection and water-related work experiences may change over time or by water source type remains insufficiently understood. We conducted a longitudinal, mixed-methods study in rural Kenya and Honduras to understand how women's experiences collecting water and performing water-related work varied between (a) two time points, (b) improved and unimproved water source types, and (c) water source location. Data were collected in 2023 and 2024 using interviews, observation, GPS-enabled watches, and scales to measure time and distance traveled, water weight and volume carried, and calories expended. 133 women participated in data collection (66 Kenya, 67 Honduras). We compared women's experience data by time point (2023 vs. 2024), source type (improved vs. unimproved), and source location (off-premises vs. on-premises) (t-test, Mann-Whitney U test). We also mapped participants' routes and activities to show which sources were visited, when, and for what activities. In Kenya, mean water collection time, distance, and caloric expenditure were significantly lower and water volume was significantly higher in 2024 when there were unexpected rains compared to 2023 when there was a persistent drought. When comparing source types during the 2023 drought, journeys to improved sources took significantly less time and energy and covered less distance than journeys to unimproved sources. These differences were not observed during the rainy conditions of 2024 when unimproved sources were closer and more accessible. In Honduras, water collection and water work burdens did not differ significantly by time point or source type. We found women with on-premises water access to still expend considerable time and caloric expenditure engaging in water work within their household compounds. Findings from Kenya suggest that water infrastructure improvements can reduce women's water collection burdens, though benefits may depend on and vary by season and source location. Findings from Honduras show that water labor does not end once water is in the household. Rather, substantial time and energy are expended carrying out water-related work even when sources are on premises, suggesting that efforts to assess water labor need to extend beyond collection alone. To meaningfully reduce burdens and ensure improved water sources are utilized during all seasons, initiatives need to consider source location, seasonal variability, and work beyond collection. Evaluations to assess infrastructure impacts on women's labor and well-being are needed and long overdue.
shao, w.; Ammerman, B.; Jacobucci, R.
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Suicidal risk may be encoded in everyday communication patterns but diluted in routine digital interactions. We introduce a method for surfacing this latent signal: training per-person language model agents on individuals' authored text (the on-screen text each participant typed, captured whenever a keyboard was visible in screenshots) and placing those agents in simulated social interactionsa communicative stress test. Using data from 79 adults with recent suicidal ideation, we ne-tuned individual LoRA adapters on Qwen3-8B using each participant's authored text, then placed agents in standardized conversations with probe personas. Agent-generated risk language was associated with EMA-measured suicidal ideation (r= .576, p < .001), with a single neutral small-talk probe performing nearly as well (r= 551). A shue control conrmed the signal is person-specic (r= .071 when adapters were mismatched), and automated descriptions of participants' general smartphone activity produced no signal, conrming specicity to interpersonal communication. A prompt ablation demonstrated partial robustness to removal of disclosure-encouraging language (r = .430). This proof-of-concept demonstrates that simulated social interaction can amplify latent vulnerability signals, bridging digital phenotyping, generative AI, andsuicide theory.
Sevilla-Parra, G.; Bravo-Garcia, F.; Mier y Teran Guevara, M.; Montes-Garcia, A.; Schäfer, A.; Ochoa-Rodriguez, N.; Bienvenu Caballero, M.; Gonzalez Zenteno, S. G.; Pena-Ayala, A.; Tinajero-Nieto, L.; Torres-Valdez, E.; Martinez, D.; Hernandez-Ledesma, A. L.; Medina-Rivera, A.; Alpizar-Rodriguez, D.
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Objective: To characterize pregnancy outcomes and menstrual irregularities in Mexican women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and identify clinical factors associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes and early-onset menopause. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study of women with SLE enrolled in the Mexican Lupus Registry (LupusRGMX) between May 2021 and September 2024. Clinical and reproductive data were collected using standardized questionnaires. Menopause was defined as the absence of menstruation for [≥]12 consecutive months, and early menopause as onset before age 40. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with pregnancy complications and early menopause. Results: A total of 210 women were included. Median age was 38 years (IQR 29-46) and median disease duration was 4 years (IQR 1-10). Among women with a history of pregnancy (47%), full-term delivery predominated (61%), while pregnancy loss occurred in 26% and preterm delivery in 13%. Pregnancy complications were reported in 9.6%, most commonly preeclampsia (6.7%). Younger maternal age was independently associated with pregnancy complications (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.83-0.95) and adverse outcomes (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.92-0.98). Higher disease activity was associated with complications in univariable analysis. Most pregnancies (68.3%) occurred before diagnosis. Early menopause was observed in 6.2% and independently associated with longer disease duration and older age. Conclusion: Younger maternal age was independently associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, whereas disease activity showed an association in univariable analysis. Most pregnancies occurred prior to SLE diagnosis. Early menopause was associated with longer disease duration, suggesting impact of cumulative disease burden on ovarian function.
Vidaletti, L. P.; Dos Santos, A. M.; Hellwig, F.; Barros, A. J. D.
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Background: The traditional wealth index, based on principal component analysis (PCA), used in the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS), suffers from urban bias, distorting estimates of health inequality. We compared the traditional index (PEAR1) with an alternative two-component polychoric PCA index (POLY2) using annual expenditure from 12 LSMS surveys as the gold standard to determine which provides more accurate SEP measures for equitable policy targeting. Methods: We compared the traditional wealth index (PEAR1) with a two-component polychoric PCA approach (POLY2) using 12 LSMS (Living Standards Measurement Study) surveys (2015-2022) from 12 African countries. Annual household consumption expenditure was the gold standard. We assessed agreement using weighted Cohen's kappa and validated against education (proportion of households with secondary or higher education) using the concentration index (CIX) and slope index of inequality (SII). Results: The POLY2 index showed higher agreement with expenditure quintiles (average national weighted kappa = 43.3%) than the PEAR1 index (35.1%), with notable improvements in urban (43.5% vs. 27.5%) and rural (35.3% vs. 22.4%) areas. POLY2 also attenuated extreme household distributions observed in PEAR1. Education validation showed that POLY2 produced intermediate inequality gradients between the flatter expenditure-based gradient and the steeper PEAR1-based gradient. Conclusion: The POLY2 wealth index is superior to the traditional index, reducing urban-rural bias and providing more accurate socioeconomic classifications. Its adoption in large-scale surveys such as DHS and MICS is recommended to improve equitable monitoring of health inequalities in low- and middle-income countries.
Kirakoya Samadoulougou, F.; Barche, B.; Ukwishaka, J.; Subedi, S.; Erchick, D. J.; Suarez Idueta, L.; Hamer, D. H.; Semrau, K. E. A.; Hamomba, F. M.; Banda, B.; Manasyan, A.; Pry, J. M.; Maleta, K.; Ashorn, U.; Schmiegelow, C.; Hjort, L.; Minja, D. T. R.; Lusingu, J. P. A.; Freitas da Silveira, M.; Buffarini, R.; Baqui, A. H.; Khanam, R.; Ahmed, S.; Zhu, Z.; Zeng, L.; Cheng, Y.; Lachat, C.; Roberfroid, D.; Huybregts, L.; Toe, L. C.; Tielsch, J. M.; Khatry, S. K.; Mullany, L. C.; Ohuma, E. O.; Blencowe, H.; Katz, J.; Lee, A. C. C.; Black, R. E.; Hazel, E. A.
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Background Large-for-gestational-age (LGA) and macrosomic newborns are at increased risk of adverse perinatal outcomes, including death, yet the burden of neonatal mortality associated with these conditions in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where ongoing nutritional and epidemiological transitions suggest their prevalence will rise, remains poorly quantified. In this study, we quantify the neonatal mortality risk associated with LGA and macrosomia from 16 subnational birth cohorts in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017. Methods and findings This is an individual-participant meta-analysis to estimate neonatal mortality rates (NMRs) and relative risks among LGA infants (>90th and >97th percentile birth weight-for-gestational-age using INTERGROWTH-21st) versus appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA, 10th-90th percentile) infants. Macrosomic ([≥]4000 g and [≥]4500 g) neonates were compared with those weighing 2500 g-3999g. Missing birth weights were imputed using recalibration and multiple imputation methods. We used random effects meta-analysis to pool relative risks. Median prevalences of LGA >90th and >97th percentile were 5.3% (interquartile range 3.6-8.2) and 2.6% (IQR 1.3-4.5), respectively; macrosomia ([≥]4000 g and [≥]4500 g) prevalences were 1.0% (IQR 0.3-3.1) and 0.06% (IQR 0.0, 0.30), respectively. Mortality was highest among preterm plus LGA infants (61.3 per 1000). LGA infants in the >90th percentile had over twofold increased mortality compared with appropriate-for-gestational-age infants (RR: 2.46; 95% CI: 1.86-3.25), while >97th percentile infants had a higher risk (RR: 3.77; 95% CI: 2.50-5.69). Term LGA >97th percentile infants also showed elevated mortality (RR: 3.14; 95% CI: 1.58-6.22). For LGA >97th percentile, the risk was higher in the early neonatal period (RR: 2.71; 95% CI: 1.92-3.82) than late (RR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.22-2.34). There was no overall association between macrosomia ([≥]4000 g) and neonatal mortality. Population attributable fractions were 7.2% for LGA >90th percentile and 0.4% for macrosomia ([≥]4000 g). Conclusions Neonatal mortality risks were elevated among LGA infants in low- and middle-income countries, particularly at extreme values (>97th percentile) and during the early neonatal period. Macrosomia showed weaker, less robust associations. Although LGA prevalence is currently low ([~]5%) and contributes less to neonatal mortality than small newborns, ongoing nutritional and epidemiological transitions suggest increasing prevalence. This highlights the need for strengthened surveillance, monitoring, and improved delivery planning to ensure that no population is left behind.
Jawahar Kanth, J. S.; Anish, T. M. R.; Odhiambo, B.; Lwembawo, K. D.; Micheal, S.; Arinaitwe, J.; Nakiyingi, L.
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Tobacco control treaties were written for billboards and television, not for the people now selling lifestyles to young Africans. As mobile internet saturates East African cities, social media influencers have become an unmeasured channel, especially when it comes to tobacco promotion. We assessed the prevalence of tobacco use, its association with influencer exposure, and how urban youth interpret that exposure in two capitals with different tobacco laws. We conducted a comparative mixed-methods study among youth aged 18-29 years in Kampala, Uganda, and Nairobi, Kenya (January-August 2025), combining (i) a cross-sectional survey using systematic sampling at youth-dense venues (n=772), (ii) four online focus group discussions (FGDs; n=40), and (iii) content analysis of 30 tobacco-related posts from high-reach influencers (greater than 50,000 followers). We used chi-square tests and multivariable logistic regression, thematic analysis (Braun and Clarke), and descriptive engagement metrics. Ever tobacco use among urban youth in East Africa was 29.3% (226/772), similar in Kampala (30.7%) and Nairobi (28.0%; p=0.409). After adjustment, exposure to influencers promoting tobacco independently predicted ever use (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29-2.82; p=0.001), alongside male sex (aOR 2.35) and age 26-29 years (aOR 1.99). Tertiary education (aOR 0.45) and never seeing tobacco content (aOR 0.26) were protective. Posts framed tobacco as aspirational lifestyle; 77% of sampled comments were positive and 47.5% expressed interest in trying the product. Influencer exposure behaved as a modifiable risk factor of a magnitude comparable to established demographic drivers. Tobacco control in the region must move from print-era advertising bans to platform governance, mandatory disclosure of paid promotion, and youth-led counter-marketing.
Weldu, T. T.
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This study examines the effects of rural out-migration and remittance inflows on food consumption outcomes among rural households in the Tigray region of Ethiopia. Utilizing household survey data collected from 521 rural households across three distinct Weredas (districts) (Tahtay Maichew, Kola Tembien, and Kilte-awlaelo). A Binary Probit model was employed to identify factors influencing migration decisions, while an Endogenous Switching Regression (ESR) model was used to estimate the impact of migration on food consumption outcomes while controlling for selection bias and unobserved heterogeneity. Food security was measured using the Food Consumption Score (FCS) and dietary diversity indicators. The empirical results reveal that severe food insecurity is widespread, with over 60% of all surveyed households falling into the "Poor" food consumption category. Descriptive baseline comparisons show that migration and remittance transfers marginally shift the raw average FCS upward from 23.86 to 25.48. However, this impact is profoundly nuanced: remittances serve as an immediate consumption-smoothing safety net but run parallel to a "labor-lost" constraint that reduces own-production capacities, forcing households to rely increasingly on market purchases for staple foods. The findings reveal that migration creates short-term labor shortages in agricultural production; however, remittance inflows substantially improve household food consumption frequencies, particularly for pulses, vegetables, and other nutrient-rich foods. After accounting for self-selection bias and unobserved traits, the rigorous ESR estimates indicate that migration increases the Food Consumption Score of participating households by an average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATT) of 10.75 points, shifting them into more secure dietary tiers. Moreover, remittances help households mitigate the adverse effects of drought and other shocks by relaxing liquidity constraints and supporting both food purchases and agricultural investments. The study recommends establishing target food security safety nets for non-remittance households, promoting scale-appropriate labor-saving agricultural technologies, expanding traditional communal labor-sharing innovations, and boosting irrigation and agricultural input support programs to enhance rural food security and livelihood resilience.
Ainembabazi, R.; Kimuli, D.; Murami, T.; Wafula, S. T.; mgeyi, E.; Kwesiga, J. B.; Kibingo, P.; Mugumya, I.; Atulomah, N. O.; Nsubuga, D.
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Background Despite existing road safety regulations, commercial motorcycle riders commonly referred to as "Boda Bodas" in Uganda continue to experience high rates of injuries due to road traffic accidents resulting from unsafe riding behaviours, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality among both riders and passengers. Safe riding behaviours are less well documented, as well as factors associated with the observance of those behaviours. This study aimed to determine factors associated with safe riding behaviors for both boda-boda riders and their passengers in Kampala Central Division. Methods A cross-sectional survey study design was conducted using a convergent parallel mixed-methods design guided by the PRECEDE model. Quantitative data were collected from 424 riders through structured questionnaires administered by trained research assistants. Binary Logistic regression was used to determine the independent predictors of safe road riding behaviors, and Adjusted Odds ratios (AORs) have been reported. Data were analyzed using descriptive and inferential statistics, with a p-value <0.05 considered statistically significant. Qualitative data were collected simultaneously with quantitative data through in-depth semi-structured interviews with 10 passengers to capture perceptions of rider behaviors and safety practices. Thematic analysis was applied, and results were triangulated to highlight convergences and divergences between quantitative and qualitative findings, providing a comprehensive understanding of safety determinants for both riders and passengers. Results Of the 424 riders (mean rider age was 29.56 {+/-} 5.71), overall, 276 (65.1%) of riders exhibited unsafe riding behaviors. In the bivariate analysis with Logistic regression, predisposing factors (education, marital status, religion, and willingness to obey traffic regulations), and reinforcing factors (family encouragement) were significantly associated with safe riding behaviors. However, in the adjusted model, secondary (AOR=0.50; 95% CI:0.30-0.85) and post-secondary education (AOR=0.57; 95% CI:0.33-0.98), being married (AOR=0.56; 95% CI:0.34-0.91), Christian religion (AOR=2.98; 95% CI:1.63-5.47), willingness to obey traffic regulations (AOR=0.41; 95% CI:0.24-0.70), union advocacy (AOR=1.76; 95% CI:1.03-3.01), and well-maintained roads (AOR=1.65; 95% CI:1.07-2.55) were significant predictors of safe riding behaviors. Qualitative interviews further highlighted barriers to safety, including a lack of helmets, over-speeding, disregard for traffic regulations, and poor road infrastructure. Conclusions Rider and passenger safety is still low, interdependent, and influenced by multiple factors. Integrated interventions focusing on education, stronger families, religious affiliations, union safety advocacy, and stricter enforcement of traffic regulations are vital for enhancing safety for both riders and passengers.